VMWare’s weak outlook prompts price target cuts
Unlike peers that reported August quarters, most notably Oracle Corp (ORCL.O) and Red Hat Inc (RHT.N), VMWare suggested the environment was getting worse with extra deal scrutiny and a pull-back in long-term maintenance signings, Citigroup analyst Walter Pritchard said.According to Thomson Reuters’ StarMine data, Pritchard, who rates VMWare stock “neutral,” is a five-star rated analyst for the accuracy of his earnings estimates on the company.Needham’s Scott Zeller, another five-star rated analyst, said the company’s fourth-quarter outlook was only marginally above consensus revenue, and was a “let-down” from the last conference call.”It is our belief VMware felt there was no upside or reward for “bulling through” the current macro fears with their guidance, and chose to include conservatism in their fourth quarter and first quarter also,” Zeller added.VMware, whose software is used to build cloud computing data centers and boost the efficiency of personal computers and servers, forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $1.03 billion to $1.06 billion. Analysts were expecting revenue of $1.03 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.Analysts at Goldman, who raised their price target on the stock to $120 from $115, said VMWare has one of the best growth profiles in enterprise technology for 2012.”With concerns over the 4Q and 1Q12 guide now behind us and the bar set at very reasonable levels now in our view, we see this as opportune time to build positions in the stock for those that have been waiting on the sidelines,” Goldman said.Shares of the company were down nearly 2 percent at $88 in pre-market trade on Tuesday. VMWare shares closed at $89.52 on Monday on the New York Stock Exchange.